U.S. Government Reopening Bets Surge to 94% on Kalshi Platform
Market Optimism has soared as Kalshi traders now assign a 94% probability to the U.S. government reopening before the end of 2025. Political negotiations in Washington show signs of progress, fueling confidence that a resolution to the ongoing shutdown is imminent. A swift reopening would alleviate mounting pressure on financial markets and public services.
Recent bipartisan discussions suggest lawmakers are nearing a deal, with both parties acknowledging the economic risks of prolonged gridlock. The shutdown has already disrupted paychecks for federal workers and delayed critical government functions. Market participants view the high probability on Kalshi as a leading indicator of stabilization.